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What the hell is the story behind this? $2500 a month for the HOA when it used to be $150? This won’t end well for the board or the developer. You mess with someone’s home then you get a nice in-person visit.

If you click on one of the related articles it says that they wanted to raise it to $7500 but "compromised" on $2500. So it's actually a bargain!

‘The sudden cost spike exposes the fragility of building businesses on subsidized API access. If your margins depend on cheap tokens, you are entirely at the mercy of the labs.’

I’m just here for the fallout. The businesses who jettisoned their talent in favor of cheap AI garbage. The ones who have seen obvious degradation in work quality and stability, but who have tried to ignore or hide it. They now have to face down CFO’s and executive management who see zero returns on the current spend and are being asked to approve extreme budget increases.

A 230% increase isn’t even a big jump. Try 1000%. That may not even be enough to cover the costs and turn a profit for AI companies.


They're just phasing out an old model. Pricing on current models hasn't changed.

‘24% chance Anthropic announces bankruptcy by the end of next year.’

And we haven’t even got to the part where AI consumer pricing corrects to realistic models. Once that hits, companies will drop AI like a hot potato.

If anyone believed that they could replace humans with AI bots at a fraction of the cost, they’re about to have a major wake up call.


Just a few years ago there was perhaps just as great a crisis in enterprise compute pricing. The end of "unlimited" storage accounts for enterprise customers. No one ran from gsuite and microsoft et al. They still kept paying for all the subscriptions to these sometimes redundant suites of services as they always did, only they now pay for additional storage solutions (in whatever shape those ended up manifesting as) as well.

> And we haven’t even got to the part where AI consumer pricing corrects to realistic models. Once that hits, companies will drop AI like a hot potato.

That ship has sailed. If you're a mid-sized company, with the resources of a mid-sized company, you'll always be able to download Deepseek's new Flash model and run it on your own hardware.

With all of the competition out there, prices arguably can't rise much further than they already have.


Well it's from a prediction market so could just as easily flip to like 5% a few minutes after a suitable story in the news breaks.

Keep throwing money into the wishing well. This has been, since day one, either a gamble or a complete con, depending on how in touch with reality you are.

I think of it a little differently. LLMs are clearly poised to have a major impact. And Anthropic and OpenAI are at the forefront of that innovation. But if you look at other technologies that have have huge impacts (trains, semiconductors, you name it) the companies that start off in the lead are rarely the dominant players 20 years later.

Today, Nvidia is bigger than Shockley Semiconductor (founded 1955) and Rivian is bigger than Studebaker (founded 1852). Being first doesn't mean you'll stick around.


It can be two things!

if the gamble is also con, it collapses to being just a con

just use xhigh setting to support them through this AI winter brrrrr.

they are obviously a con ( opinion). look at last slop report. opus 5.5 gets _worse_ when u put higher attention settings. u get banned for using better harnesses etc. etc.

they could do really well. a lot of avid supporters. But i think if they do not change their tactics then openAI, GLM for those who can run it, or others, might start taking even those (pardon my french) religious fans.


We really need to start drug testing those in charge at Sony. They’ve been at it a while. I remember making the mistake of buying one of their early digital cameras, only to find out their memory sticks were $120 for 128MB. SD cards were maybe half that. Was all downhill from there.

Elon:’This is a car people will be able to own and drive’.

Someone add that to the list of bullshit he said.


I’d take the other side of that bet. $10k USD says that normal consumers are owning and driving Tesla Roadsters within 10 years.

If you believe what you write, it’s easy money for you. Deal?


Just bet on Polymarket or Kalshi so we can all take your money instead. Post a screenshot of your position so we know you’re not full of baloney.

The first (much nicer looking!) Roadster Version 2 prototype was announced ~10 years ago (2017), and was never released, and has now been replaced with this, so it's a matter of faith to say it'll ever be released. It'd never sell in sufficient numbers to move the needle for Tesla, probably not even sufficient to recoup development costs.

Note that the only version of the car that could conceivably be street legal is the base one with downforce fan only, and no cold thruster launch (boost) - NTSB is never going to approve throwing out a condensation cloud smokescreen on the highway!


The "other side of that bet" would be betting that ordinary consumers will be driving it in 2028, which is what Elon claimed. A lot can happen in ten years---if Tesla ends up selling a clean-sheet sports car called something else by 2036, would that still count? Or are we talking about this specific model with these specs?

> if Tesla ends up selling a clean-sheet sports car called something else by 2036, would that still count? Or are we talking about this specific model with these specs?

Yes, and note that this has already happened: the original Roadster v2 from 2017 never shipped and was replaced with this one.


do you normally commit to - and pay a sizeable deposit - ten years before you take deilvery of a new car?

$250k USD invested today is ~$400k to ~$600k in 2036.

And that $50k deposit made 9 years ago? That could have been nearly $300k in 2036.

"A fool and his money..."

I don't have any particular problem with a modest (a few 10s of thousands) deposit on a ~3 year timeline that's reasonably confident. But six figures on a 100% speculative consumer good (ie not even remotely an investment)? Oof, no thanks.


Can I take that bet on the one that does flips?

"Tesla Roadster" in name, maybe. Tesla Roadster as a flying car that drives up walls? 0% chance of that seeing the light of day.

Did we invent a new logical fallacy? If you believed that you'd bet money on it and since you aren't betting money on it then your argument is invalid!

Elon stans are deeply weird people.

If you mean one that can do the stunts from the demo I'm in, but not for $10k: that's more than I'm willing to bet with people I don't know. How about $100, since most of the point of a bet is formalizing a disagreement and showing that you're serious?

Within 10 years of today, or within 10 years of when it was announced 9 years ago?

From when the statement in question was made, obviously.

So, this new promise negates the original 3-year delivery timeline promised in 2017? That timeline, taken alongside Musk's recent "we're no longer a car company" statements is... well, you do you, I guess, but I'm not in the business having handing piles of cash to a billionaire.

There's a website dedicated to Elon's predictions.

He tweeted back in 2019 there would be a flying roadster.

Promises made, promises kept?

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1083095876392964096

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1083128521801822213

Broken clock, etc.

https://elonmusk.today/#flying-roadster


At this level of tortured language, he could have shot the car out of a fucking cannon and it would count as flying.

Except it doesn't fly, it falls gracefully.

Looks to be more falling with style to me

Same same. Lol

1.1M Americans live in Germany?

19.8% of the German population are immigrants. The US is only 15% and we act like we’re being invaded. The UK sits at 19%.

When jobs are scarce and housing unaffordable, no wonder people question these things.


No. 1.1M Germans live in the US. Left side immigrants. Right side Germans living abroad.

It even says so in the graphics (which easily reads from left to right: in/out).


Why blame migration? We all need to find a place in this world and we are all made equal.

No. Cultures matter. Homogenous society > GDP

Do people actually expect these companies to be fair and impartial? Seriously, you may as well have a No Kings account on Truth Social while you’re at it.

Yes, yes I do. that should be the standard.

We're talking about the dorm room project of a rich kid who stole the idea from his friends and thinks his users are "dumb f**s".

There's really no reason to expect anything from Meta except for it to do what's best for Zuckerburg.


That was cool for about 2 seconds then I started wondering 1) if that would ever be legal anywhere on earth, and 2) why this even exists.

The design is nice, though.


I know many people who work in education, at different levels of different schools, and they have nothing but horror stories to tell. School is now just glorified babysitting and stopping kids from either overdosing, getting pregnant, or committing suicide. Teachers and faculty spend so most of their time on harm reduction that teaching is almost non-existent.

Where I live, the quality and safety of the public schools is directly correlated to the property values in each school district. Wealthy areas have great schools with nearly perfect graduation rates. Inner ring suburbs have lower property values and less funding and more students with problems. Inner city schools have lots of funding but a lot of students with problems. The experience of students in public schools is highly variable.

The socioeconomic status of the parents of the students and the amount of money available for funding determine how good or bad public education is.


>School is now just glorified babysitting and stopping kids from either overdosing, getting pregnant, or committing suicide.

Absolutely false. Anyone who believes this should step outside and get away from doomer BS like this. I volunteered at a school and children were literally having fun with Scratch.


Yeah, let’s forget about reality because you volunteered at one school for a while.

There are some schools far far worse than others. The area and demographics make a huge difference

So many people on social media these days assume that the narratives they’re exposed to represent the average human experience. Doomers everywhere and frankly the best thing imo is to let them stew among themselves.

Obviously there are terrible schools and incredible ones and a whole range in between, it that sort of nuance doesn’t get clicks on twitter or TikTok.


Hang out in that subreddit for a while… this isn’t a singular report.

And those threads get a monumentally higher number of detailed responses than any education related thread here on HN.


Go to cscareerquestions and you would think everyone is getting laid off. It is called engagement bait.

Reddit is a cesspit of trolls, info ops, bots and advertising… all driven by the typical “driving engagement with negative emotions” style.

“Touch grass” is a phrase for a reason, at some point you aren’t dealing with a person who came to an opinion based on experience, they’re just a depressed parrot.


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