"Esoteric cypher that no one has seriously tried to break" lol
It's military comms traffic from WW2, encrypted by machine named Enigma. Back in 1940's it was like breaking SSL today, with only difference that they actually could (kinda) break Enigma.
You don’t have to be patronizing it’s esoteric because they had a new key every single day so it’s very possible no one has looked at one of the millions of messages the Germans sent over the entire period of the war.
This situation has improved quite a bit recently, Qwen Flash Next will run on a $4000 PC and can reliably implement small features on its own (feels comparable to Opus 4.5). It's a bit slow but pretty effective.
Less. Probably 2-3K if you build right. Qwen 3.8 27B on constrained tasks is Opus 4.6-ish to me, it just doesn’t know enough, but when task is laid out just gets it done.
Comes down to how much of the ambiguity we expect out of the model.
What would you build? Flash Next on 128GB works ok, 3.8 27B might technicially work on less but it's just too slow at least on current APU style chips. I'm curious about the non-NVIDIA 32GB discrete GPU options but I haven't tried yet.
128GB on a Ryzen 395 is enough but not by a lot. Around 90GB for weights plus 10GB to 20GB for KV cache and checkpoints. I don't know about 64GB of VRAM for less than around $2500 by itself.
I think this is worth revisiting once we get some solid 3rd party numbers from the new mac studio ultras, which admittedly are a bit over $10k with a 2tb ssd + 256gb ram. I think I'd be seriously considering it if I had a $200/month subscription of some kind.
Relativity fixes that a little, you don't need to go light speed to make it all over the place within your lifetime, it's the observers who sent you off that will never reap the fruits of their effort.
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