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This thought path has been explored by the Black Mirror series in the episode The Entire History of You.

https://black-mirror.fandom.com/wiki/The_Entire_History_of_Y...


I wouldn’t call black mirror an “exploration” of thought. It’s rather myopic.

It’s like going to the 1962 world fair but, instead of optimism, everyone just wants to tell you why everything in the future sucks.


No, it's an exploration of what could happen based on things we've already seen/experienced but with the knob turned to an 11. It's what should happen in pretty much what if round table situation. "Hey, would could build this thing that does something that we are specifically thinking about that would be cool/fun/benevolent" is only part of the discussion. "How could someone else turn and use it in a way not anticipated so they use it for their own gains in a way that is shocking/malevolent" should be the natural follow up. Can the thing be updated to not be used for unintended negative purposes or will the negative out weigh the positive so that it shouldn't be made in the first place??? Sadly, it seems the follow up questions are never asked. Instead, we get scifi people doing it and then getting reviews like yours instead of looking deeper into point

I remember some archeologist saying that the first sign of civilization is not some tool or whatever but a healed fractured bone. That means the person that got hurt was cared for by other people who had enough resources to afford for one useless member of the group.

> If we create enough wealth to give them the income without the truck driving... We won? That's the goal here. That's what the economy is _for_.

Assuming such wealth is created by the autonomous trucks replacing said drivers, for the same number of trucks, that would mean we now have to pay for 1 autonomous truck + 1 idle driver. This is more expensive than a regular truck driven by someone.

So either the number of truck increase dramatically or the replaced truckers find another value-creating occupation (or both).


Let's not forget that in a functioning economy, living and consuming goods _is_ value-creating.

I don't understand. Could you elaborate?


I only skimmed the article but this doesn’t seem to say that loving itself creates value. This value is based on the expected earnings someone will still have in their life because it assumes the person will work. If you have a person that will live off UBI from the rest of their life, that’s not the case.

Thank you. I understand that we can put some monetary value on reducing the risk of dying.

How does that make "living and consuming goods" value-creating, exactly ?


For all the talk about AI making teams super productive, I don't see much talk about AI improving software quality.

It's a shame, though, because I believe there is a lot of potential there.

I mean, quality is easier with the right tooling (monitoring, linters, property-based tests, theorem prover...). But, given limited resources, it can feel difficult to prioritize investing in quality when business is pressing devs to ship, ship, ship.

But now the cost of writing custom tooling has changed. These custom tools might be sloppy because vibe-coded but we wouldn't have them otherwise! Or we might finally have decided to make that investment after too much time suffering from their absence. Now the cost/benefit changed, so why not invest now?


> But now the cost of writing custom tooling has changed. These custom tools might be sloppy because vibe-coded but we wouldn't have them otherwise

There’s a lot of good tools out there that are not used, either because of ignorance of their existence or lack of expertise. An hour of config can pay real dividend later.

And sometimes you just use some unix utilities and hack a bash script while testing things out.


After 15 years on the field, I still lack a lot of expertise. Many teams do, as you say.

LLM can save hours of doc reading for non-critical tools that I would otherwise not use. Its also pretty good at "hacking a bash script" in order to test things out. Not everyone is confortable writing bash scripts.


> Once engineering teams have cleared the backlog, then burned through the decades of tech debt the constraints will switch. And how businesses react to that will be interesting.

I have no doubt someone in business will have more ideas than any team can deliver.

Think about all those product-pitch PPTs. What if one could present a prototype instead? Boom, demand increased 100x.

That's Jevons Paradox https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox


> a corporation is typically "a thing".

What is "a thing", exactly ? Corporations are certainly ambiguous in that regard: they have legal personhood[1] and even free speech[2] in US, apparently.

In the other hand, no corporation ever really "announce its financial report". Someone does it on behalf of the corporation, technically.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporate_personhood [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citizens_United_v._FEC


Veritasium made a video about CERN's "antimatter factory"

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=jjp3WC8Unj8


Hmm, what does "civilization" mean actually?


Developing with LLMs is somewhat more expensive than without. That must be a blocker for many hobbyist.

On the other hand, corporations don't spend much on open source.


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