And perhaps creating a web of funding with clients that boosts the world economy to the point that other services may suffer, and that part of this web is selling a product illegally, and that when this comes to light questions will be asked, including how much of the web is funded illegally (maybe not much) and perhaps the new management will disentangle this web and the butterfly flaps it's wings.
Price per token is dropping (though anthropic are doing dastardly things such as using new tokenizers that use 30% more tokens), efficiency will likely increase.
If the subscriptions (of all of the big companies - unlikely?) give a poor amount of value in the future, will move to trusted/open router and use a harness that uses the latest cheap good models for most things, more expensive models as orchestrators.
Already there are non-SOTA models that should be sufficient for most non-coding tasks, and soon for coding, also.
The future is bright, in that respect, without subsidizing the ridiculous IPOs.
Arena.ai released carbon tests 12 days ago - the only service that I have seen on yt that gained access. And you can compare to other SOTA models in their video.
What people claim is not "some experiments degrade performance", it's "Anthropic nerfed the models [because they are evil and do not like the user etc]".
Like most experiments do not save the company money, there was an experiment to test the new fable, people got to use it at opus-5.5 usage. But this experiment clears the thinking blocks when people go back to the vanilla model; not sure if Anthropic overlooked this, but idk, it does not sound like "nerf on purpose".
There are experiments to adjust the effort level, at the moment the ones that I've seen switch to a higher effort. Again this is not a nerf; might be annoying perhaps, the model does start to behave differently (and consume more tokens). But it's not a nerf.
Then there is apparently one experiment that replaces opus-5.5 system prompt with the one from opus-4.8; the model is the same; this experiment is perhaps a bit more questionable, but still it's not "anthropic nerfed the models".
If people think they are getting nerfed they should check what experiments are enabled (claude.json and session logs).
I'm pretty convinced that those who have constantly been posting these complaints, probably for every single model release out there, are indeed wrong.
> And not just in this instance, nerfing has been complained about in a cyclical fashion for many months.
No, it gets complained about constantly even if there is no model coming out. A completely unrelated thread on Claude will feature comments like "can I just say that [model] has suddenly become useless this week?" Merely asking that question is bound to get people agreeing with you because we are evaluating all of this on vibes and placebos.
I too feel that way sometimes, I don't think it's ridiculous that Anthropic might silently downgrade you as demand warrants. But asking others if they "feel" something I feel is less than useless.
Recession?
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