Also, Russia has clearly established itself as a source of failures. In the same way that Europe and Canada should be weaning themselves from the USA for lighter-duty yet valid issues, they should really further disentangle themselves from the Russian economy if possible.
For that employer, it's going to be normal, and employees won't be looking. In the USA, managment dictates all terms of employment, take it or leave it.
Omg, covid years brought such unimaginable seethe from management class that as a result I never bought into the conspiracy theories on it. The weird amount of anger on not being able to among other bright ideas 'manage by walking' drove some to the edge of madness. They are still angry and were all too happy when Musk declared that the wfh vacation is over.
This will fire up the jihadis and encourage the cycle. Very different than the obscurity into which the mastermind of the World Trade Center truck bombing was thrown.
Why wouldn't the Antichrist be spreading warnings about someone/thing else being the Antichrist? If he doesn't misdirect people, they could suspect him. Heck, he could even charge $100/head to peddle his lies.
> Thiel has a diverse library: The lectures were heavier on political theory but also wove in pop culture with historical figures from Francis Bacon, to Ozymandias of the “Watchmen” comic book series, and the Japanese manga series “One Piece,” all of whom he believes are or include figures who could be the Antichrist. Plus, he invokes political philosopher and member of the Nazi Party Carl Schmitt, whose ideas about the Katechon he counts as an influence and slightly critiques.
There's gotta be people in the Vatican reading this dreck while they punch holes into drywall out of anger. I'm pretty sure Thiel is closer to destroying eschatology than reviving it.
Horses absolutely are consumers. They eat, they drink. They just can't manipulate their environment to get more food or drink.
The human system relies on us doing stuff for each other, mediated by "money". We get "paid" by some other human for doing stuff for them. "Stealing" is discouraged. "Being given" is rare. "Money" originates from fiat, goes where it goes.
Humans unable to do for others don't get "paid", get starved/sick etc, experience pain, cause trouble and disappear eventually. When doing stuff for people is not done by people, the pay cycle breaks. When machines do a substantial fraction of economic activity (intangibles like decision-making, writing, answering the phone, etc. as well as transport), there is no need for very many people. Absent the need, there will be no support. The farms won't give their food away, they will arm themselves against the hungry.
There will be some human work. So long as machines cannot equal human touch and experience combined, there will be medicine. There will always be sex work. But who affords it?
Possibly racial disparities will diminish. A machine might actually give equal medical care to, or equally arrest, the Black and white person. Or not, depends on the training. Look who's developing the AIs.
Economists thought that economic development means democratic development. They were wrong, see China. They thought that economic liberalization means good governance. Wrong, see Russia. Economists are right about things until they are wrong, and we can all run off the cliff with them.
When the population drops (war, starvation, refusal to bear children) to the level needed to run the machines, the system will stabilize. Pretty much the horse scenario.
Yes, we've seen that already without necessarily a technological singularity. You accurately describe the great depression in the 1920s and several similar events prior to that.
But what's consistent with those events is that they end and economic development is resumed under different circumstances. I don't see any reason that the current era will be different or that current problem will be unfixable. People used to get paid to build national parks. What would be our current iteration of national parks?
This transition will be a lot slower than the shocks that produced depressions and recessions. A couple of good wars will thin the herd, which is how populations have been weeded out in earlier times.
Public works projects need funding and purpose. I'm not optimistic about what purposes the make-work funding gets applied to these days. Public beauty, cleanliness, health are not in the priorities.
Huh? The Great Depression was a cyclical event. So public works projects only needed to last until the market recovered. Technological revolutions are structural changes. There is no “national parks” equivalent program which we were willing to run to sustain the horse population at 1900 levels.
A few free speech defenders are consistently consistent about supporting it, but for the most part they are concerned about freedom of their favored speech. Even the ACLU has appeared to waffle a bit.
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