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I do hope for a future where LLMs are so good at patching zero-days that the NSA and all other nation-state 'cyberwarfare' departments (ie software privateers) lose most their capability.

Zero-days are the least of our worries in the late 2020s and early 2030s

On the other hand, nation-states will be able to run massive GPU clusters full of LLMs dedicated to cyberwarfare. They certainly have the resources to do it.

Imagine the Huggingface incident, but with an agent swarm that's deliberately malicious instead of just misaligned.


Cyberwarfare isn't generally about hacking or stealing data. It's more like a footrace to a chessboard.

Most of the analysis and summary that demands LLMs is public data... massive amounts of data. Otherwise, it wouldn't be "warfare". It would just be spying.


yes, that's why US is so keen on preventing China getting the gpus. And Israel is so bent on all AI. Trumendous advantages over the countries like Iran who will have to basically become hermit kingdoms to protect themselves.

Seems just as likely that LMMs will have the opposite effect.

I'm imagining a world where you don't get to fuck up as bad as FB did spending multiple years chasing the Metaverse while letting their platform rot, relying purely on plateauing ad revenue.

Looking at their revenue growth, it's one of the best companies for shareholders (ethics aside of course).

I understand Zuck made many failed bets but he had a few big bets paid off. And those big bets paid off so well that FB is a $1.4 trillion company.

It's like people here are still stuck in school where you have to score A+ on every subject.


On my computer around 500 MB for two additional 4K monitors but I've heard up to 1 GB. With the RAM crunch, running DL + Docker + browser (esp Chrome), it gets pretty laggy sometimes.

What percentage does one gigabyte of RAM represent across the average amount of RAM in a laptop or computer? People who run multiple screens might spend more on RAM and storage, no?

500€ for 32 GB or ram is a stupid price no matter how many displays you own

The laptop I’m provided by work only has 16 gigs of RAM

Same here. Last company gave 64 GB which was beautiful if excessive. A friend of mine says his work gives him 128 GB + M5 Max for work that absolutely doesn't need it and I told him he was part of the problem lol

Also if Steam hardware is to be believed, most people have 16 GB (41%) followed by 32 GB (37%) and that's for gaming-specced machines, not your average person like my in-laws who are rocking a 12 GB iMac.


> not your average person like my in-laws who are rocking a 12 GB iMac

Even prior to the crunch 8 GB was normal if you weren't shopping premium gear. The truly budget stuff often still only had 4 GB which was ridiculous IMO (I told my relatives they were wasting their money).


I just had my first and need to give this a rewatch. I think this film, Oryx and Crake, and The Wire spurred me at that point in my life to become extremely involved in movement organizing. First around civic engagement then anti-racism then even further left efforts.

In the decade+ that I've been doing this, I don't think I've ever felt despondent or hopeless in spite of the horror/terror happening in the world. I think a lot about the 'what would you be doing if this were the time of a slave economy/indigenous genocide/segregation/etc' and it's something that I can answer proudly, honestly.

There's also a deep, abiding sense of satisfaction you can have if you don't hold yourself to the perfectionist idea that you must win at all times. It's healthier, much more so, to re-orient yourself in the long historical view, that liberation is a millenia+ long project, and all the work we do now is work that future generations won't have to. The opposing forces are so much better funded and entrenched so every small win is a monument to be cherished and all the battles too even if the war is lost.

Plus, doing this work, I'm picking up a lot of very useful skills and knowledge and critical frameworks. And all of this will be taught to my children who will do better than me and be kinder than me and make the world an even better place than I can.

No pressure, kids :)


Certainly no government would ever encourage its own agents to engage in things like smuggling especially the smuggling of drugs to certain Global South nation states where the capital acquired from those operations end up funding pro-American paramilitaries who topple their local government. That would be totally bananas for any kind of republic.

Contra-ry to common conspiracy theories, I'm certain any government-led self-investigation into culpability in this vein was all very aboveboard and well-substantiated, and such incidents never ever happened.


> Certainly no government would ever encourage its own agents to engage in things like smuggling

North Korea has entered the chat ...


They are talking about the USA

USA, which is famous for engaging in several smuggling operations, like the Iran-Contra affair or the many cases when CIA was allegedly involved in drug trafficking.

I thought including 'bananas [...] republic' and 'Contra-ry' would be obvious enough of hints that I was being deeply sarcastic but alas

Sarcasm is a subtle art, my friend, and sometimes the audience misses the point. I did too, and re-read your comment and now see where you were going.

This feels like another software engineering truism that gets forgotten in the LLM age - if the ticket requires more than a two week sprint's worth of work (ie 8+ points), it should be broken down. Otherwise you bury so much context and tech debt while also making your reviewers deeply unhappy and cognitively depleted.

Have your LLMs treat you like you want to be treated as a code reviewer!


Agile/Scrum was a thing before AI. What's the point now

I wish there was more actual research on those 'moralisms' many of which boil down to public health safety features that have led to dramatic reductions in mortality rates.

On the one hand, I definitely don't agree with the logic of 'don't guardrail me if I don't want it.' I think back on that one video from the late 80s of people talking about how seatbelt mandates were horrible violations of their freedoms (and not like like one second of work and no real discomfort).

On the other, I'd love it if these companies actually produced real research about modern AI-assisted attacks in terms of damage and quantity, and whether or not guardrails even matter when tech like abliteration is in general use.


Seatbelts shouldn't be mandated. People should have the choice, you just have to make the case that it's worth it. In fact some places don't mandate seatbelts (New Hampshire doesn't, aligning with their motto "Live Free or Die").

That said, for those who cannot advocate for themselves, like children, I think it's entirely reasonable to hold someone accountable if they decide to forgo an appropriate safety mechanism that results in harm.


I think there's a spectrum of enforcement. If they're mandated and you go to jail for not wearing one, that's stupid. If they're mandated and you get fined $20 if caught, just to add a little friction, is that still stupid?

I bet cars these days send a flag to the mothership when you drive without one, but the mothership doesn't pay attention to that signal unless it's linked to your insurance.


Not a single US state has jail time for it. Yes, it's still nanny state behavior.

Should folks who don't wear seatbelts be de-prioritized or excluded from government-funded healthcare in the event of injury?

GPT-5.6 Sol was July 9 > GPT-6 Sol was September 22 (75 days)

Fable 5 was June 9 > Fable 5.1 was September 1 (85 days)

Opus 5 was July 24 > Opus 5.5 was September 22 (61 days)

Yeah, we're not due for a model refresh until the end of month if current release roadmaps of 2-3 months hold.


Leaks, for what they're worth, indicate that the next GPT model is soon (tomorrow rumored), and that Fable 5.5 is already ready-to-go. That said Fable is likely being held to drown out said GPT release, since Anthropic is already ahead w/ Opus 5.5.

Yeah, I'd even leverage the fact that you work in software to make a note about how deeply invasive this is and how much it opens up unnecessary surface areas to attacks.

It's not equivalent because $400M is an insane amount of disproportionate power and influence. In this specific instance it broke down likely due to the cultural zeitgeist and general dissatisfaction with costs and Trump but in a less tumultuous political environment, that amount of spending should always be corralled and limited.

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