for a lot of things ChatGPT has 100% plateaued, especially if you are just using it as a "better Google" search engine. ChatGPT still makes mistakes, makes things up occasionally, etc. that's the whole jagged frontier thing. what recent LLMs have truly achieved breakthrough in are fields that have results that are relatively cheap to verify, such as maths, coding, etc. so people outside of these fields will have disconnects with where LLMs really are right now.
also very important to note that the massive increase in capability in these fields doesn't necessarily immediately translate to increase in productivity. because the code and math proofs these LLMs write are legit _alien_ to us. if you just want code that do something (e.g. a port of Bloodborne that runs on PC), then they can do it. but if you want something human can understand and maintain, that's going to be a nightmare. and that'll surely slow down adoption.
Looking at this I'm reminded of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymath_Project, in particular "Yitang Zhang's 2013 breakthrough on bounded prime gaps, eventually lowering the upper bound on the gap between consecutive primes from 70,000,000 down to 246".
Yeah, completely insane "free speech" absolutist who are also completely fine with punishing people who supposedly don't share "western values" by taking away their citizenship and expelling them.
I've read about them... What they believe is just so far out, and crazy, I don't even know how to describe it. Those people have a terminal shortage of marbles, straight out crackpot politics.
That generally suggests a lack of empathy on your part. If there are an organised group of people who you don't agree with it should generally be easy enough to state what ideas they believe, why it is wrong and some plausible explanation for why people believe what they do despite being wrong (that goes beyond "well they're just inexplicably stupid").
I can call flat-earther, perpetual motion machine makers, moon landing truther, etc. stupid, and I don't believe I need to explain myself. And there are for sure organised large groups of people of those.
Sure. But the beliefs are easy enough to describe. Eg, the flat earthers believe the earth is flat. And it's obvious why that isn't the case because even with a good telescope I can see stars but not mountains in foreign countries. Case pretty much closed, earth can't be flat.
And that probably isn't exactly correct but it is a big chunk of the way there. It isn't "what they believe is just so far out, and crazy, I don't even know how to describe it". It's easy to describe.
What the hell is "theoretical money"? It sounds like either OpenAI took the $400k hit, or their API pricing is utterly bonkers and therefore completely pointless to quote. It would be like me saying my car is worth $400k in theoretical money because, yeah, I'd totally sell it to you for $400k.
This is literally just how I've been using QFN all this time.
reply