I am mostly at the same point right now you are, but I think in the future with those "gas town" ideas we might be managing even more agents each.

Also, I've recently begun experimenting with specific tasked agents running on a cron like timer for non-dev work. (checking emails, managing small business tasks, etc). Once I started using Claude code in this way, the number of agents I can imagine running has skyrocketed. So I guess what I am saying is that I look forward even cheaper tokens going forward.

Other than what the others mentioned about finding more efficient representations, you can also compress by pre-agreeing on some common terminology.

In many ways, we are communicating using a compressed channel (words) since we both have pre-agreed on the meaning of these words.

That and also that agreements can evolve with time and also within a discussion, so a basic level of agreement is necessary, but complete consensus about the meaning of all words is unnecessary and often unproductive to communications held in good faith.

I honestly haven't done enough thinking on it, but it doesn't strike me a priori as ridiculous to limit people's ownership of these nation-sized companies, and to possibly limit the size of the company as well

Who's talking about the government? The most obvious natural owners of a company to me are the employees, who are actually the ones responsible for its success.

If an amazing drug or other therapeutic falls out of this I bet they would be happy to own it outright.

I wonder what the AI version of Albert Hofman will come up with.

I believe that you just want to make a really good harness, but is that all amazon wants it to be or do they want more?

Yeah Strands powers thousands of agents at Amazon, so we all really benefit from being open source thanks to improvements/github issues from the community. Our focus is making agents run easily and reliably in prod

Have you ever heard someone say “pace yourself” when you are eating too fast or otherwise rushing too much?

That's a different phrase. "Pace yourself" is reflexive; "pacing the frontier" has the frontier as an object, but in that sense it only means to set the speed, nothing to do with slowing down.

Yes, the word simply means to set the speed.

The current situation with AI is that everyone is going as fast as possible. So, we can logically eliminate speeding up because it's impossible by definition. And we can practically eliminate staying the same speed because why make a big fanfare and coin a special term to announce that you're keeping the status quo. By process of elimination, it must mean slowing down.

The word can also mean to “keep up with” or “lead” so a downward direction isn’t the only way to go even in an “as fast as possible” scenario. If the frontier is outpacing them, they could be saying they’re going to go faster. They could also be sharing the intention to go faster in order to lead.

This is why the chrome driver plugin and similar tools are so important. The site shouldn't know or care if its me or my agent working on my behalf.

Someone should make the millennium problems for AI alignment so the frontier labs will actually try to solve that problem.

> Someone should make the millennium problems for AI alignment so the frontier labs will actually try to solve that problem.

Rather: Someone should make the millennium problems for human alignment so the top researchers will actually try to solve that problem. :-)

They are already human-aligned. That is the entire issue.

because run by humans? i would not consider them aligned with human goals per se..

A group already (sort-of) has for the broader theory: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.21691

It's a good list, but "alignment" is much more targetted. I attended a workshop with researchers from OpenAI and Anthropic also present, where the objective was to hash out what the problems in alignment even are. This, it turned out, was extraordinarily difficult.

The problems with alignment are to do with how we define and search for this vague notion when it is mathematically ill-posed at present.

I was gonna write "Implement the three laws of robotics", but then I remembered that the point of the short stories is that there are a number of loopholes...

The only thing the frontier labs are interested in is their trillion dollar IPOs.

For 1 million dollars?

I hope you are right.

You'd think that believing they are going to destroy humanity would motivate them.

If you ignore what people say and instead observe what they do, the world makes a lot more sense.

Some ~~people~~ corporations just want to see the world burn.

They're for-profit corporations above all.

They are human institutions above all. Saying 'we're a corporation' doesn't at all absolve them from human traits, consequences, and responsibilities.

Corporations are really the embodiment of Moloch.

> forecasting = modeling = AI

I wouldn't go that far. Humans can forecast by modeling with their wetware, nothing "A" about it.

How about: forecasting is something you can do by modeling, AI is just modeling with a computer.

forecasting = modeling = intelligence, you mean?

Forecasting = modeling + intelligence

Use Claude code and the chrome plugin to access reddit.

Indeed, I just wanted to try out Gemini Deep Research with their gated access to Reddit. The next step would be for me to use Claude Code to load each URL and write it's own analysis - in this case I just offloaded some of the searching to free Gemini rather than burn my paid Claude tokens. That being said, I trust Reddit comments just about as much as I trust AI analysis on topics like this (solar leasing company evaluation)