Or if model training is more of a rollercoaster, where spending gets you to the top of the hill where you create a massive internal model which can then build the next version of itself for cheaper and cheaper amounts relative to human R&D costs. If Anthropic is first over that hill, they can race far ahead.

There's nothing like that in the US, not by any measure.

The whole reason you have entrepreneurs in the US is because people DON'T judge for you failing. You can always start again.

Pretty sure we judged the heck out of Juicero, Theranos, and WeWork on this very website.

Not simply for failing though. Obviously there were other factors.

Right, but Elizabeth Holmes already has investors lined up for her next attempt to revolutionize medical testing.

Fraud is generally considered shameful, not being an entrepreneur

> I tend to notice the poorest, most desperate tend to be the proudest

I think this is where folks go astray. There are tons of well-off or even wealthy people who love America, give to their churches, cheer on their kids at sporting events, and have what appears to an outsider as an unbelievably high amount of nationalism. It's not really the poorest, most desperate slice of society by any measure. Have you lived outside of a major city in the US?

I don't live in a major city.

Looking at the research it shows that subjects who self-identify as loving America can be preducted by best by being older, and political party, though not wealth at all.

So I don't really have any hard-data to justify my impression that it's uneducated blue-collar white men without much going for them that vociferously love america, maybe it's just country music that gives that impression, or the type of uneducated poor who enter the army with blind faith in our institutions, etc.

I'd love to see the data on age. The only clear data is that having children makes you more patriotic and conservative. Basically you have a stake in the future.

Now, people who are younger and urban tend to also be childless, but if you control for child bearing, you will get some eye opening stats. There is also a correlation with depression and the number of visits to therapists, but that could also be due to the loneliness of being childless in a major urban area.

Might also be due to parents with children being in greater need of a chinwag with a therapist or three but as a group mostly veering toward lacking both free time and spare cash.

Lot of room to speculate.

No, it's childless people who see therapists more.

The axis is childlessness/more concerned with online social standing/less patriotic on one side, versus having kids/being more patriotic, fewer accounts of depression.

Much of the push for parasocial relationships is, I believe, the result of people not having kids to come home to but living life online. That also is responsible for the fear of "social death", e.g. online ostracism. People who come home to kids and grill with their friends on weekends don't particularly care about conforming to the beliefs of strangers online.

> No,

Read carefully, I didn't disagree.

> it's childless people who see therapists more.

Possibly because they have more free time and disposable income.

As I said, there's a lot of room for speculation, probably best to avoid sweeping generic explanations based on keyhole PoVs.

May I present to you the humble briefcase full of cash?

The US manufactures more goods annually than Germany, Japan, and S. Korea combined.

Isn't its population also larger than all three combined? It seems like some per capita measurement might be more telling here.

If you go that route, then the US is ahead of China for manufacturing output per capita. Which probably isn't what you wanted to hear.

Best part is that he did this all with a controller + pretty slow sensitivity settings. Aka this probably took 2X as long as someone on a PC doing the same thing

> I still remember the day I found out game theory was a thing - it was like finding out that someone successfully systematized common sense.

Game Theory as a field is actually very complex and often reveals dominant strategies that would never occur to someone as the "common sense" approach to a problem. It was arguably created to solve for problems where there was no obvious correct answer, even for a very intelligent person.

I was talking about this with a friend this weekend. We both work in the field and test new models within minutes of them being released. We both immediately clocked Opus 5.5 as being cracked within the first hour. Went on HN and the launch announcement was full of people whining and pointing at cost/token charts vs Chinese models. It was like the upside-down world.

We were both sad that HN has become a negative signal news source on AI lately - you're much more likely to be misled by this website in 2026 on the topic of frontier AI. If you're reading this comment, you should do your own research vs trusting the "Astra is 1000% the best" or "Deepseek is the $/tk KING" comments swarming these announcement posts.

Yeah men with guns can always take it, but there's this thing called the stock market and bond market that would freak out if free enterprise was crushed by state coercion with armed men, with billions worth of IP forcibly exfiltrated by state actors. Trillions get wiped out overnight.

That massive economy is what pays the guys with guns. You can win that battle but you will absolutely kill the golden goose and lose the war.

> and can't seem to fathom that men with guns always override the opinions of nerds in SF.

Those nerds in SF are holding the proverbial gun up to the head of the economy right now. Maybe men with physical guns are bad at understand that type of thing.

> Maybe men with physical guns are bad at understand that type of thing.

Yup. Which is why they are in control. Don't underestimate how far a fool can go.

So far in the past 20 minutes it sounds much better in my sessions. Way better than 5.0 so far.