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I just YOLO it. Just don't give it access to anything that can produce permanent consequences. The cost of a mistake is maybe one hour of fixing it. If what it produced is 80% right and 20% wrong, by letting it run overnight, you've gotten 80% of the work done that otherwise wouldn't have happened.

If you have work building on top of other work, your "20% wrong" quickly turn into "80% wrong".

If feature B depends on implementation of feature A, and feature A happens to be on the 20% wrong side, then feature B will be wrong too, regardless of whether you happen to have better luck with it being implemented on the 80% right side. It'll simply be built on a broken foundation. It WOULD have been correct if the foundation was right, but it wasn't.

This is actually very common in software development, where you rarely have stuff happening in isolation. A lot of features deliberately touch each other, build on top of each other, and even more so when you factor in "accidential" overlap due to unclean technical boundaries (in spaghetti code, everything touches everything).


Yeah this is why you have your top guy (Fable/astra) split everything into discrete tasks and go one layer at once. Get 10 subagents working on parallelized tasks that have no dependencies on each other through the night.

This was a problem maybe 6 months ago. With Fable/Astra orchestrating Opus/Sol subagents it now works really well.

Ask it to interview you before you start and it'll get your constraints pretty well.


https://chatgpt.com/share/6a5fdc7a-d6f8-83e8-bbea-8deb42cfed...

Terrence Tao's conversation with ChatGPT is very illuminating.

HN Discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49010345


The only thing AI has changed is that it has dropped both: the cost of attack and the cost of defense. Nothing in the game has materially changed; the game has just sped up.

plenty more has changed.

for example the barrier to being a skiddie is basically gone, and low-skill would be hackers can hit very hard.

to develop a CVE into a KEV in 2017 might take 2-3 months with a skilled team of serious security engineers; now my intern can get into police radios without knowing anything about the underlaying technology, essentially on a whim.

any random tier 1 IT drone who can define a VLAN can potentially hit as hard as that team of security engineers now


Yeah that is what I said, cost has gone down.

Who gets rent has changed. It puts me in mind of cloudfare et al

Not really. Actually, for the purposes of cybersecurity, local models are far superior. Both offense and defense.

The game has increased in scope.

That is the direct effect of reduced cost. Jevon's paradox type effect: cost goes down demand goes up. You can AI-check so many more things that would be very time consuming earlier.

Yep. IP is not true "property" either, since it is not "scarce"


https://daviddfriedman.substack.com/p/shrinking-hierarchy

This is almost a direct counter to your essay, albeit written before you


on what basis do you claim the local product is "good" if people are not choosing it?


You can manipulate the meaning of "good" to suit your purpose, but it generally refers to quality.

Cost is a different aspect entirely. A one-dollar scoop of ice cream and a $100 scoop are both good.


What is "quality"? What is the objective test of it? I have made my definition clear: if people are choosing a product consistently, it must be of some value to them. What is your definition?


The Labor Theory of Value was defeated decades ago, get with the times


Unfortunately, we haven't found a better alternative.


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