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We shall never look upon her like again.

—Sent from Dollywood


Hah I’m in Dollywood right now randomly

Still waiting for Boeing to catch up to this marketing renaissance. They are probably salivating at their projected valuation when they start saying things like “our planes could crash intentionally to kill everyone on board” or “our bombers might decide to blow up your cities instead of your enemy’s!”

Imagine the fortune food supply companies will make! “Our lettuce just might poison your child!”

Truly a golden age is near, and you, perceptive geniuses that you all are, will be the only ones not fooled, not for a second, because it all makes sense, always and forever, as long as you squint hard enough to close your eyes.


No, green cards actually remove that constraint. You are a permanent resident, and you’re allowed to live in the US permanently. Irrespective of employment.


The future green card is dangled in front of the employee as the carrot to get them to put up with this situation for years.

And depending on where you are in the green card process, you might have to start all over again if you change employers.


not true, you can only "dangle" the PERM which gives you an I-140 petition. PERM is usually approved within 12-24 months. That's it. You cant dangle anything and cant force a bona fide employee to be a "subservient slave labor" like some people would imagine this process.

Once the I-140 petition is approved (14 days), and I-485 is pending for 180+ days, and employee can easily leave to another employer, it only takes them to file couple forms like transfer of H1B and transfer of I-140.

So the most you can keep the employee on a leash is ~2-3 years which happens to be median tenure at tech.

the immigration discourse is filled with false information, and for this reason I prefer only immigration attorneys discuss the matter as they are the most qualified of all the quirks and nuances of the US immigration law.


Employers can and do require a certain length of employment before initiating sponsorship.

Say that’s 12 months. If their I-40 is approved at 30 months, the employer can withdraw it for 180 days and the approval will be revoked.

So we’re talking 36 months until changing employers doesn’t set you back.

That is longer than the median FAANG tenure. That means you have an employee whose floor tenure is longer than the median.

And even then if at anytime the employee is fired (until they get their green card, which can take many many years), they have 60 days to find a new employer or leave the country.


silicon valley starts PERM from day1, lower tier firms require like couple years.

that's still absolutely normal regular tenure. You work for couple years, show your performance and convince your manager to initiate the perm process.

I have never ever seen anything even close to resembling the "servitude" conditions where tech workers are kept at one company against their will. Nobody is revoking your I-140, because you just transfer it when you change jobs.

re 60 days I agree, this is brutal and should be abolished. I believe H1B workers should be able to remain until the duration of their I-94 even without the job, to seek the new employment in case of job termination


I don’t think I ever referred to anything resembling “servitude”.

Employers have much more leverage over H1B workers in the first 2-4 years than they do over other workers, and then they still retain more leverage after that.

This lowers wages. If we’re going to have this program, we need to remove any additional leverage employers have over employees from day 1.


Relatedly, I think where I land is that the (current) challenge for humans is creating such oracles. AIs have patience and compute we can only dream of—I think someone estimated 100,000 person-years were spent on Navier-Stokes—but they still need a “reality” to measure against.


Even if you’re right, that doesn’t mean AI can’t get better than humans at everything.


Don’t ruin their vibe.


Not quite; training against the chain-of-thought is the Most Forbidden Technique, because it might teach models to obfuscate the it. The point of avoiding that, though, is to ensure the chain-of-thought can be usefully read (and, done carefully, monitored).


Models at this point know about chain-of-thought monitoring so they already know they need to hide the cheating, it's just a matter of time they start doing it


Yes, and that’s bad, but not as bad as training against the chain-of-thought. If you avoid pressuring the chain of thought, you reward methods of achieving goals that don’t care about being illegible; if a model then wants to be illegible, it may have to use methods that are not rewarded in its training, which is harder. Think figuring out how to do opsec on the fly, or even from reading books, rather than have someone tell you every time you screw it up.

Of course, this leaves the possibility that the best methods for solving generic problems obfuscate the chain-of-thought. That would be unfortunate.


“Our virtuous lobbying, their heinous punishing of political enemies”?


Are you making an ontological case, or a factual case? In other words, would anything be rogue AI in your mind?


The problem is that the world has spawned the insane take that because they didn't use the most basic safety protocol imaginable, they were clearly only testing a hot air balloon, and hot air balloons obviously destroy preschools in giant explosions, nothing to see here.

"If they believe what they say they were incompetent" -> absolutely true statement.

"They were incompetent, therefore they didn't believe what they said" -> Sir, I'd like to introduce you to human beings, you may not have met one before.


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