i think what they are saying is that if you really so certain that the proof is incorrect, you would put on that claim and rest assured that you would win. Especially since the position you are claiming is currently at less than 10%, you stand to win a large amount of money.
The person you are arguing with made no such claim of certainty either one way or the other, so they have no reason to bet anything.
I understood what they were saying but if they're not willing to bet any money then they should refrain from commenting entirely since that seems to be the bar they are setting for others.
I think you misunderstood. His mouth was not at "the proof is correct". His mouth was at "you are not really certain that the proof is incorrect". Those two are not the same thing, so flipping the accusation back at him and saying "you should've bet on the proof being correct then" does not actually make any sense.
edit: in other words, if there is anything that he should bet on, it's "the other guy wasn't really certain that the proof is wrong, he is just bloviating". That's a different bet than "the proof is correct".
Sorry I need you to state your axioms here because as I stated above, "standard" semantical interpretation of the word "certain" implies you should be betting lots of money. Since you're not, I have to conclude you have some goofy unorthodox semantical interpretation.
By standard semantics, if you state that believing with certainty that the proof is incorrect is stupid, then you surely believe with certainty that it's correct.
Unless you want the negate the certainty part, but then the nudge to gambling is less coherent.
> By standard semantics, if you state that believing with certainty that the proof is incorrect is stupid, then you surely believe with certainty that it's correct.
you might want to think a little bit harder on this
Which is not the same thing that was written in informal prose & their proof has 8k non-computable axioms so you can't even write a program to verify their blowup example is actually a valid instance of a smooth flow that blows up.