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That this is just model capabilities and not swarms of agents is dizzying to me. How long until we get access to these capabilities? How long until we can run something like it locally?

And what the hell will the frontier labs have by then?

Maybe I'm overreacting, I'll have to screw my head back on before I can process this.



Yes! I missed the disclosure that each of these was roughly a three hour run of a single model, not an agentic swarm until reading Aaronsons post. Wow wow wow.


Im curious as to why you think that "model capabilities" and "swarms of agents" are in any way different concepts?


The cost of the N-S disproof was estimated to be $15,000,000 whereas a ChatGPT Pro subscription costs $500.


thats like saying it only took me 5 seconds to score a half-court shot (ignore the several hours of missed shots before)


Ok so add a factor of 20 to match the 8000 questions that OpenAI tested on, it's still crazy efficient compared to the NS result


could be 20, could be 2000000


They have specified a 5% success rate where does 2000000 come from? Even if we ignore their statements there simply aren't enough open questions for them to have a much higher failure rate than this, someone mentioned elsewhere in the thread that they resolve 90 of a slop list of 500 open questions.




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