You can run doom on anything these days; running it on humanity's eulogy is no surprise :)

> Given how little effort has gone into addressing climate change, doom seems more likely to me

Or it is simply implies that most of decision‑making agents has formed a consensus that climate change isn't that big of a problem.

For them maybe - rich enough and or old enough to avoid the problem. Big problem for the rest of us

Sure, but that doesn't make it true.

The irony is not lost on me, when I go down a ChatGPT rabbit hole, on how humanity could reverse the effects of burning all those fossil fuels, that I'm using more fossil fuels in order to research solutions to the problem.

Renewables growth is so fast that it will exceed 100% of electricity in the early, and 100% of all form power in the late, 2030s.

It's the meat methane and cement CO2 that's now a big question.

I think your prediction is a bit early. Maybe a decade early. 2033 is 7 years away. The transition is happening really fast, faster than most people (or political leaders) know, but not that fast.

We will hit 1TW per year of new solar soon, but to get to 100% electricity by the end of 2033 I think we would need closer to 3TW per year.

Exponential growth curve(s) has yet to flatten; but you do also need to account for capacity factor, which is different between wind and PV.