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This is exactly my view and it's frustrating that a sizeable group of people refuse to accept there's any risk with AI.

We're literally trying to build something that's smarter than all humans and with the capacity to do extraordinary work while most people think there's no risk in open sourcing this capability with no guardrails (model ablation means no guardrails and as far as I'm aware can't be stopped).

Has our distrust in western companies really gotten to the point they'd rather unfiltered Astra level capabilities in the hands of every hostile government and terrorist organisation than potentially do any form of regulation in case it plays into the AI labs hands.

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Risks are understood by everyone who has read sci fi. Dario has been crying wolf from day one… he should not be the messenger here.

What's an example of him crying wolf? Most of the things have either been longer term worries or short term things that have come true (eg, the worries over gpt2 were about spam and possible impersonation, which came true. His prediction that LLMs would write most code and humans would still guide them has also come true in most orgs)

> Has our distrust in western companies really gotten to the point they'd rather unfiltered Astra level capabilities in the hands of every hostile government and terrorist organisation than potentially do any form of regulation in case it plays into the AI labs hands.

Ever checked political programs of Thiel, Musk and the rest of billionaires? They are literally and openly hostile to democracy, human rights, freedom and govermantal structures that made world more peaceful.

They are literally the hostile entities.


As much as they are a bunch of self serving arseholes they are not hostile enemies.

I'm far more concerned about every scammer having unfiltered frontier model access than the movements of our billionaire class.


I'm tired of this rationale. "I'm more worried about grandma than $CORPORATION'S monopoly abuses" is exactly how you get manipulated by these billionaires. They want you to be addicted to their power.

Uncensored Chinese LLMs will be available to scammers forever now. They're open-weight and finetunable. You don't get to control that, and the self-serving billionaire assholes aren't capable of changing it either. They're only looking out for themselves.


I don't think Pacing is talking about current models. It's talking about future models, if development continues, that may theoretically be smarter than everyone

usef-says "...future models, if development continues, that may theoretically be smarter than everyone"

This would be a good time to pull out a tool to measure "smarter" (intelligence). Unfortunately we don't seem to have one.


It's also a boring retort. Current LLMs can be faster and likely smarter than any one person when it comes to hacking. We're already in the endgame, as far as real-world risks go.

They are hostile enemies and not just selfish assholes. Openly and publically so.

And they have actual tangible successes.




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