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It's a very very very rough approximation, but scaling laws (admittedly weaking over time) yield ~x^2 from a size, ~x^2 from a dynamic power, and more of the data movement is moving from PCB interconnect to on package which looks more similar to chip scaling.

It's a finger in the wind approximation with lots of confounders, but historically it seems to work out that way for most circuit things.

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