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Of all the things we’re never going to do… we’re never going to agree with China to pause AI research in a verifiable way that would mean they could trust us or we could trust them. It’s just never going to happen.

With nuclear weapons you could conceivably go to a small list of specific places to inspect stocks of weapons. You can watch for tests from outer space or measure the quakes they create.

My read of the “deep seek moment” was that a lab came out of nowhere and trained a very powerful model with vastly less power than was previously required.

The AI labs are private, not owned or run by the government. They are distributed widely within and across countries. The barrier to entry is much lower than that for nuclear weapons.

It’s just a complete non-starter.

(And yeah I’m deliberately ignoring the obvious incentives Dario has to recommend this course of action as the owner of a leading lab himself.)

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