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>an entirely American project until the technology was exfiltrated

No it wasn't. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tube_Alloys

Post WW2 the USA (for a bunch of quite interesting reasons) excluded the British. But, of course, the British had acquired a lot of knowledge from the program and were able to develop their own bomb.



There were leaks before the Manhattan project even concluded:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Klaus_Fuchs

Sure, non-US nuclear arms would have most certainly happpened either way, but exfiltration did presumably at least accelerate the timeline.




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