> I'm always surprised at how many people in the tech sector assume overcoming fundamental LLM weaknesses is always “just a matter of time,” and that time will arrive quickly enough to be relevant.
Lots of techies are tech-optimists ("tech always improves quickly").
Lots of people also have dollar signs in their eyes (or related, such as increased visibility and scope).
I think those are more like two facets in the crowd rather than two distinct crowds. Almost all idealist tech industry workers in column A that believe this is the future of the tech business would also fit into column B. Column B folks believing this business isn’t a fantastically expensive mass delusion event (with regard to the financial impact predictions) would essentially fit into column a. Most that wouldn’t would probably be Wall Street types that told Leopold Aschenbrenner to get bent rather than handing him billions of dollars on blind faith.
Lots of techies are tech-optimists ("tech always improves quickly").
Lots of people also have dollar signs in their eyes (or related, such as increased visibility and scope).
Hard to tell which is which.